Every Premier League club’s predicted position before the 2019/20 season started compared with where they finished in the table

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Another crazy Premier League season has come to an end, although this one really was crazier than all the others for the obvious reason.

It finished (eventually) with Liverpool as champions for the first time ever, while Manchester City, Manchester United and Chelsea joining them in the Champions League.


Liverpool won the league but they were expected to be there or thereabouts before the season started

As for the Europa League spots, Leicester and Tottenham made it, while Arsenal’s FA Cup triumph saw them sneak in at Wolves’ expense. Wolves can still make it into next season’s Champions League if they win the Europa League, however.

The top flight said goodbye to Norwich, Watford and Bournemouth, while Aston Villa were the side who celebrated beating the drop on the final day, much to Roy Keane’s annoyance

The 2020/21 season all gets under way on September 12 but now is the time to reflect on who’s achieved above and beyond and who’s fallen short of their targets.

Analysis by betting firm Unikrn has compared the final standings of the 2019/20 Premier League table with every team’s pre-season odds and they make for some interesting results…

The biggest over-achievers and under-achievers in the PL in 2019/20

1. Liverpool (Pre-season odds prediction: 2nd) +1

2. Manchester City (Pre-season odds prediction: 1st) -1

3. Manchester United (Pre-season odds prediction: 5th) +2

4. Chelsea (Pre-season odds prediction: 4th) =

5. Leicester (Pre-season odds prediction: 10th) +5

6. Tottenham (Pre-season odds prediction: 3rd) -3

7. Wolves (Pre-season odds prediction: 7th) =

8. Arsenal (Pre-season odds prediction: 6th) -2

9. Sheffield United (Pre-season odds prediction: 20th) +11

10. Burnley (Pre-season odds prediction: 18th) +8

11. Southampton (Pre-season odds prediction: 13th) +2

12. Everton (Pre-season odds prediction: 9th) -3

13. Newcastle (Pre-season odds prediction: 8th) -5

14. Crystal Palace (Pre-season odds prediction: 14th) =

15. Brighton (Pre-season odds prediction: 17th) +2

16. West Ham (Pre-season odds prediction: 11th) -5

17. Aston Villa (Pre-season odds prediction: 16th) -1

18. Bournemouth (Pre-season odds prediction: 15th) -3

19. Watford (Pre-season odds prediction: 12th) -7

20. Norwich (Pre-season odds prediction: 19th) -1

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Sheffield United are quite clearly the winners in these charts, having defied the tag of relegation favourites to finish ninth in the table – eleven places higher than what was predicted.

In fact, Chris Wilder’s side are the league’s biggest over-achievers since Leicester incredibly won the title back in 2015/16.

Props should also go to Burnley, who finished eight places higher than their pre-season odds, while fifth-placed Leicester were tipped to come tenth. However, the disappointment of missing out on Champions League football will still feel raw to Brendan Rodgers’ men considering they were in the top four for most of the season. The Foxes were even being talked up as title contenders at around Christmas time.

Leicester have over-achieved but that will be scant consolation for the heartbreak of slipping out of the top four

Getty Images – Getty

Leicester have over-achieved but that will be scant consolation for the heartbreak of slipping out of the top four

As for the under-achievers, it’s no surprise that Watford are down there. The 2018/19 FA Cup finalists were expected to comfortably stay up but finished second from bottom.

West Ham did equally as bad in relation to their predicted position but crucially stayed out of the relegation zone.

Manchester City will be hurt to have their grip on the Premier League trophy loosened by Liverpool but only finished a place below what they were predicted to achieve, while Manchester United did slightly better than expected as they secured qualification for the Champions League.

Chelsea, Wolves and Crystal Palace were the only sides to finish in the exact position that their pre-season odds predicted.

*Pre-season predictions were compiled by analysing detailed odds from a number of outright relegation, top half, top four and winners markets to compile a table based on outcomes that were most likely.

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